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  • Shamik Das | Politics Summary: Tuesday, February 9th

    • 09:05
  • Time for Maya's voice to be heard amid the non-tears

    • 09:04
  • Guest | Has the left won the first round in spending cuts?

    • 09:01
  • Guido Fawkes | Apparently those MPs facing theft charges still take the Labour whip. Tories di...

    • 08:47
  • Chris Bryant | I'm definitely backing AV tonight. Every labour candidate is selected by AV and ...

    • 08:47
  • John Redwood | Why should Lib Dems vote twice?

    • 08:42
  • Mark Reckons | What difference does political blogging really make? - Event review

    • 08:42
  • Jim Knight | Great quote in Guardian: Cameron may be a pretty face; a pity that lower down he...

    • 08:39
  • Genuine regionalism could save the economy and Labour

    • 08:24
  • Dizzy | Derek Wyatt launches MyMP

    • 08:23
  • Guido Fawkes | Will Dave Really Crack Down on Lobbyists?: Yesterday Dave in his speech had a g...

  • Mark Pack | What happened to the 19 Conservative MPs who voted to keep MPs’ expenses secret?

    • 08:20
  • Guido Fawkes | Will Dave Really Crack Down on Lobbyists?

    • 08:20
  • BBC Radio 4 Today | Met police "without a doubt" still institutionally racist - Sergeant Alfred John...

    • 08:20
  • Paul Waugh | Former LibDem mayoral candidate and copper Brian Paddick says Ali Dizaei was a "...

    • 08:18
  • PPC Profile: Chris Williamson

    • 08:13
  • Hattie Garlick | Tuesday's comment from the papers in...

    • 08:07
  • Henry Macrory | Letter to Times: Do we now assume that if an MP takes a revolver into the Common...

    • 08:05
  • Morning Call: pick of the comment

    • 08:00
  • MPs ready to vote on AV referendum - 8 in the morning, February 9th

    • 08:00
  • Toby Young | Can Cameron successfully spin himself as the anti-spin candidate?

    • 07:30
  • ConservativeHome | (1) Vote Conservative... because of George Osborne

    • 07:19
  • Dizzy | Playing the race card?

    • 06:56
  • Nile Gardiner | Barack Obama faces Armageddon in latest polls

    • 04:29
  • Mike Smithson | Is it because the marginals ARE different?

    • 04:03
  • noreply@blogger.com (Working Class Tory) | Wilderness years

    • 01:11
  • Laurie Penny | Women, political blogging and the future of the left.

    • 00:44
  • Polly Curtis | Alistair Darling criticised over hidden £18bn indemnity plan

    • 00:05
  • Fiona Millar | Beware the market experiment with schools

    • 00:05
  • Steve Bell | Afghanistan death toll matches Falklands as two British soldiers die

    • 00:05
  • Poll List: Populus poll points to hung parliament

    • 23:43
  • Peter Watt | None of my friends in the pub was talking about the election tonight. The opposi...

    • 23:36
  • Stephan Shakespeare | "Should America copy Britain?" Momentum for Presidential version of PMQs http://...

  • Kerry McCarthy | Lies, damn lies and Lib Dem statistics

    • 23:28
  • Nicholas Watt | David Cameron promises two-year lobbying ban and pension penalties for former mi...

    • 23:27
  • Mark Pack | A polite round of applause directed towards The Times

    • 23:18
  • Ben Bradshaw | tories admit ashcroft doesnt pay full UK tax ie is non domiciled for tax purpose...

    • 23:15
  • Why is France selling amphibious assault ships to Russia?

    • 23:14
  • Why is France selling amphibious assault ships to Russia?

    • 23:14
  • Miliband and Jowell join forces to meet the mutual moment

    • 23:05
  • Jonathan | Why don't the Tories come clean on Lord Ashcroft's tax status?

    • 23:05
  • Iain Dale | The Daley (Half) Dozen: Monday

    • 23:05
  • Norfolk Blogger | Cameron's speech - Seeing through the spin

    • 23:05
  • Meir Javedanfar | Tehran's nuclear glue | Meir Javedanfar

    • 23:00
  • editor | Joanne Cash resigns…

    • 22:56
  • Alastair Campbell | Tories start day talking tough on sleaze. End it falling apart on Ashcroft. Big ...

    • 22:51
  • Paul Waugh | Surely @joanne_cash must have better reason than 'tensions' with local pty for q...

    • 22:47
  • baronessdeech | Schoolgirls

    • 22:16
  • Ian Katz | The case for climate action must be remade from the ground upwards | Ian Katz

    • 22:00
  • James Forsyth | The Tories think Brown is their most potent weapon

    • 21:54
  • Richard Norton-Taylor | Cabinet did not need to hear legal doubts over Iraq invasion, says Straw

    • 21:39
  • Boris Johnson | V excited about launching our groundbreaking online consultation for climate cha...

    • 21:35
  • Patrick Wintour | Labour considering paying benefit informers - Guardian

    • 21:32

Latest from The Green Box

The PoliticsHome Electoral Index is the largest marginals poll of its kind ever to be attempted in the UK. Consisting of over 33,000 interviews across the 238 top marginal constituencies, it provides the most detailed and authoritative prediction available of the outcome of the next general election.

  Con Lab Ldem Oth
Notional 2005 Result 214 343 63 30
Inner London 4 -4 0 0
Outer London 6 -6 0 0
London's commuter belt 16 -16 0 0
Seaside towns 7 -8 0 1
Labour's southern bastions 15 -15 0 0
Urban West Midlands 14 -14 0 0
West Midlands Hinterland 11 -11 0 0
East Midlands 20 -20 0 0
West Yorkshire 11 -11 0 0
North West 17 -17 0 0
North East England 3 -3 0 0
Cumbria 0 0 0 0
Conservatives vs Liberal Democrats in the South West 8 0 -8 0
Conservatives vs Liberal Democrat around the country 0 0 0 0
Labour vs Liberal Democrat battlegrounds 5 -5 0 0
Welsh Marginals 8 -10 -1 3
Scottish Marginals 1 -4 1 2
2008 Prediction 398 160 44 48
2009 Prediction 360 199 55 36

PoliticsHome's new prediction of the outcome of the next election...

Conservative

majority of...

70